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Analytics & Tools

Under this programme of work, ESCAPE is developing and sharing innovative tools and methods which can make the most out of the data available during future pandemics. We are building a modelling and inference ecosystem - including risk assessments, real-time analyses, projections and scenario models - to understand and project the transmission dynamics of Pathogen X, as well as cataloguing statistical approaches to infer key epidemiological parameters. To ensure that advances in modelling and data assimilation are translated into practice, this workstream is developing a suite of digital tools and frameworks to support decision-makers in selecting mitigation and control measures.

Work package lead: 

National Institute of Public Health and Environment (RIVM)

Participants of the consortium:

Hasselt University (UH), National Institute of Health and Medical Research (INSERM), National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge (INSA),

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), University of Bern (UBern)

Tasks of the Work Package

Image by Myriam Jessier
1

Analytics and models for transmission dynamics: data assimilation

INSERM, RIVM, UH, INSA, UBern

2

Developing tools to monitor and plan effective responses for mitigation and control of the infection

UH, LSHTM, INSERM, RIVM

3

Key epidemiological characteristics

UBern, LSHTM, UH, RIVM, INSA

4

Comparing and selecting models for an effective response

RIVM, INSA, UH, UBern, INSERM

Output

R package

EpiLPS 1.3.0

Article

Bayesian nowcasting with Laplacian-P-splines

Article

Insights into the role of children in the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium: a longitudinal sensitivity analysis

Article

An Efficient Approach to Nowcasting the Time-varying Reproduction Number

Article

Dynamic landscape of mpox importation risks driven by heavy-tailed sexual contact networks among men who have sex with men in 2022: a mathematical modeling study
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